Outlook on climate change adaptation in the Tropical Andes mountains

Climate change in the Tropical Andes

1950-2000

1950-2000

1950-2000

VENEZUELA

VENEZUELA

VENEZUELA

COLOMBIA

COLOMBIA

COLOMBIA

ECUADOR

ECUADOR

ECUADOR

Percentage Seasonality*

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 ˚C Annual average temperature

Annual average rainfall

Millimetres

500

2000 4000

0

1000

3000 5000

30 0 40 60 80 100

PERU

PERU

PERU

BOLIVIA

BOLIVIA

BOLIVIA

*Precipitation of the wettest consecutive three months divided by annual precipitation

Projection for 2061-2080 RCP 8.5

Projection for 2061-2080 RCP 8.5

Projection for 2061-2080 RCP 8.5

VENEZUELA

VENEZUELA

VENEZUELA

COLOMBIA

COLOMBIA

COLOMBIA

ECUADOR

ECUADOR

ECUADOR

Projected temperature change*

Projected seasonality* change** Percentage points

Projected precipitation change

˚C

Percentage

2.5

3.0 3.5

4.0

-10 0 -5 1 2 3 4 5 7

0 -10 -20 -40 10 20 40

PERU

PERU

PERU

BOLIVIA

BOLIVIA

BOLIVIA

*Climate models agree well on direction of change

*Agreement between climate models can be low

**Agreement between climate models can be low

Sources: Hijmans, R.J., et al.,Very high resolution interpolated climate surfaces for global land areas, 2005, at worldclim.org

Maps have been produced within the SMD4GC program at UZH (Switzerland)

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