The northward spread of infectious disease
A R C T I C C I R C L E
Geographic distribution of climatic suitability for tick Ixodes ricinus responsible for Lyme disease in Eurasia
Projection for 2080 according to the B2 scenario of the IPCC 4th assessment report
Main anthrax outbreaks as documented by the World Organisation for Animal Health (OIE) and Pro-MED between 2005 and 2016.
Situation in 2013
2 000 Number of cases Lyme disease cases in Canada
Low suitability Medium suitability Very low suitability High suitability
Low suitability Medium suitability High suitability
Anthrax climatic suitability
Current situation Forecast for 2050 based on projected warming anomalies using a concentration pathway of 4.5 W per m 2 radiative forcing.
The IPCC B2 scenario describes a world with an emphasis on local solutions to economic, social and environmental sustainability rather than the global approach (scenario B1). Presence of the tick Ixodes Scapularis Lyme disease vector for the period 2040-2080 according to the RCP 8.5 scenario of the IPCC
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