Future Imperfect: Climate change and adaptation in the Carpathians

Adaptive capacity is more or less equivalent to the level of general economic development. Therefore study results confirmed a “southeast-northwest slope” of the vulnerability (higher in the northwest, lower in the southeast). The vulnerability of tourism activities was ranked for each region. Based on this analysis, if the vulnerability number remains under 100, the analyzed activity is scarcely vulnerable. Be- tween 100 and 200, the activity is moderately vulner-

able. Above 200 vulnerability is high (Figures 18, 19). The scale of vulnerability of the specific activities can be reduced through special adaptation measures. It is important as well to highlight the fact that cli- mate related change such as landscape degrada- tion, wildfires and flash floods have the potential to seriously affect tourism in near future and could be enough to counteract any potential positive effects.

© Andreas Beckmann

Figure 19: Vulnerability map of the Carpathian regions (source: CarpathCC).

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FUTURE IMPERFECT