Future Imperfect: Climate change and adaptation in the Carpathians

an important increase of the frequency and intensity of heat waves. Warming was less pronounced during the winter, when temperature increase was less than 0.4°C everywhere. Some areas even show a slight cooling during the CARPATCLIM investigation period.

Compared to temperature, changes in precipita- tion resemble a more mosaic pattern. Total annual precipitation has large spatial variability. The main spatial distribution shows decreasing precipitation in the western and south-eastern parts of the region

© Herczeg Zoltan

Figure 9: Changes in daily mean air temperature (°C) (left) and precipitation (%) (right) in the greater Car- pathian region in winter (DJF) and summer (JJA) as the multi-model mean for the years 2021–2050 relative to 1971–2000 (absolute differences in mm), for the A1B greenhouse gas emissions scenario with 14 different GCM-RCM combinations from the ENSEMBLES project (source: CARPATCLIM).

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FUTURE IMPERFECT