Elephants In The Dust

pdf 2007-08-06 11:56:25

Mean Species Abundance Index

< 50 50 - 60 60 - 70 70 - 80 80 - 90 90 - 100 %

2000

2050 Markets First

2050 Policy First

Decrease in Mean Species Abundance Index

25 > 20 - 25 15 - 20 10 - 15

2050 Security First

2050 Sustainability First

< 10 %

Figure 4: Changes in pressures on biodiversity, including infrastructure development and population pressures, land use change, pollution and climate change, under 4 different scenarios from the Global Environment Outlook series using the GLOBIO 3.0 model. Notice the similar pattern in Africa under all scenarios with varying degrees. This will have major impacts on the habitats and ranges of the African elephants. The threat is particularly high in areas with large population growth and significant agricultural expansion (Source: UNEP; www.globio.info).

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