Changing Taiga

Climate change in Mongolia Annual mean temperature

Frequency of dzud events

Observed, 1961-1990

Modelled, 1961-1990

Tsagaannuur

Tsagaannuur

Projected, 2070-2100

Projected, 2070-2100

Tsagaannuur

Tsagaannuur

Dzud is a Mongolian term that refers to a multiple natural disaster consisting of a summer drought resulting in inadequate pasture and production of hay, followed by very heavy winter snow, winds and lower-than-normal temperatures.

Temperature, °C

Frequency

-12

-9 -6 -3 0 3 6

20 40 0 10

50 100

Annual mean temperature anomaly °C

Annual total rainfall anomaly Millimetres

0 1 2 3

100

50

0

-1 -2 -3

-50

-100

1940

1950

1960

1970

1980

1990

2000

1940

1950

1960

1970

1980

1990

2000

Source: Mongolia NCAP Project, weADAPT; World Bank.

Map by Riccardo Pravettoni.

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PORTRAITS OF TRANSITION NO.1